Politics, Current Events & History Debates on politics, current events, and world history. |
 Maj. of Americans “Don't Trust” Bush To Handle Iran Crisis |
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Major
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Location: University of Guelph
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Maj. of Americans “Don't Trust” Bush To Handle Iran Crisis -
04-13-2006, 01:24 PM
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Major General
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Location: Calgary
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04-14-2006, 09:40 PM
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Major
Posts: 6,413
Join Date: Mar 2003
Location: University of Guelph
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04-14-2006, 09:44 PM
So straw's comments last week that it would be a mistake to attack Iran somehow seem contradictory..hmmm reminiscent to what happened after 9/11 when he said that invading Iraq would be a mistake.
Also I stole your avatar ninty, thanks in advance.
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Major General
Posts: 12,683
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04-15-2006, 04:11 PM
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Major
Posts: 6,413
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Location: University of Guelph
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04-15-2006, 04:57 PM
Let the good times roll.
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Colonel
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04-15-2006, 05:23 PM
i shook jack straws hand at heathrow 4 years ago when i was drunk at heathrow airport.
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Senior Member
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04-15-2006, 05:41 PM
bla, bla, bla
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Senior Member
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04-15-2006, 06:01 PM
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Major General
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04-15-2006, 07:20 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Judas
http://youtube.com/watch?v=77deRrurmFk
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bah, weak list. There have been plenty better ones than that
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Major
Posts: 6,413
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04-15-2006, 08:50 PM
[quote="Sgt>Stackem":d837d]bla, bla, bla[/quote:d837d]
I would say something as a result of that attitude but I'll save my comments for another occasion.
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Senior Member
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04-15-2006, 08:53 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Coleman
Quote:
Originally Posted by Judas
http://youtube.com/watch?v=77deRrurmFk
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bah, weak list. There have been plenty better ones than that
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theyve been ripping on bush nightly with some super LOL stuff.
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Senior Member
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04-16-2006, 07:52 AM
[quote=Machette]
Quote:
Originally Posted by "Sgt>Stackem":70bf9
bla, bla, bla
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I would say something as a result of that attitude but I'll save my comments for another occasion.[/quote:70bf9]
whats to say 45% of those that thought 56% of the percentage of those serveyed thought 67% didnt know what 45% said when 56% were surveyed
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Major
Posts: 6,413
Join Date: Mar 2003
Location: University of Guelph
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04-16-2006, 11:28 AM
To do with the Iran issue:
Op-Ed Contributors
Bombs That Would Backfire
By RICHARD CLARKE and STEVEN SIMON
Published: April 16, 2006
WHITE HOUSE spokesmen have played down press reports that the Pentagon has accelerated planning to bomb Iran. We would like to believe that the administration is not intent on starting another war, because a conflict with Iran could be even more damaging to our interests than the current struggle in Iraq has been. A brief look at history shows why.
Reports by the journalist Seymour Hersh and others suggest that the United States is contemplating bombing a dozen or more nuclear sites, many of them buried, around Iran. In the event, scores of air bases, radar installations and land missiles would also be hit to suppress air defenses. Navy bases and coastal missile sites would be struck to prevent Iranian retaliation against the American fleet and Persian Gulf shipping. Iran's long-range missile installations could also be targets of the initial American air campaign.
These contingencies seem familiar to us because we faced a similar situation as National Security Council staff members in the mid-1990's. American frustrations with Iran were growing, and in early 1996 the House speaker, Newt Gingrich, publicly called for the overthrow of the Iranian government. He and the C.I.A. put together an $18 million package to undertake it.
The Iranian legislature responded with a $20 million initiative for its intelligence organizations to counter American influence in the region. Iranian agents began casing American embassies and other targets around the world. In June 1996, the Qods Force, the covert-action arm of Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps, arranged the bombing of an apartment building used by our Air Force in Khobar, Saudi Arabia, killing 19 Americans.
At that point, the Clinton administration and the Pentagon considered a bombing campaign. But after long debate, the highest levels of the military could not forecast a way in which things would end favorably for the United States.
While the full scope of what America did do remains classified, published reports suggest that the United States responded with a chilling threat to the Tehran government and conducted a global operation that immobilized Iran's intelligence service. Iranian terrorism against the United States ceased.
In essence, both sides looked down the road of conflict and chose to avoid further hostilities. And then the election of the reformist Mohammad Khatami as president of Iran in 1997 gave Washington and Tehran the cover they needed to walk back from the precipice.
Now, as in the mid-90's, any United States bombing campaign would simply begin a multi-move, escalatory process. Iran could respond three ways. First, it could attack Persian Gulf oil facilities and tankers — as it did in the mid-1980's — which could cause oil prices to spike above $80 dollars a barrel.
Second and more likely, Iran could use its terrorist network to strike American targets around the world, including inside the United States. Iran has forces at its command that are far superior to anything Al Qaeda was ever able to field. The Lebanese terrorist organization Hezbollah has a global reach, and has served in the past as an instrument of Iran. We might hope that Hezbollah, now a political party, would decide that it has too much to lose by joining a war against the United States. But this would be a dangerous bet.
Third, Iran is in a position to make our situation in Iraq far more difficult than it already is. The Badr Brigade and other Shiite militias in Iraq could launch a more deadly campaign against British and American troops. There is every reason to believe that Iran has such a retaliatory shock wave planned and ready.
No matter how Iran responded, the question that would face American planners would be, "What's our next move?" How do we achieve so-called escalation dominance, the condition in which the other side fears responding because they know that the next round of American attacks would be too lethal for the regime to survive?
Bloodied by Iranian retaliation, President Bush would most likely authorize wider and more intensive bombing. Non-military Iranian government targets would probably be struck in a vain hope that the Iranian people would seize the opportunity to overthrow the government. More likely, the American war against Iran would guarantee the regime decades more of control.
So how would bombing Iran serve American interests? In over a decade of looking at the question, no one has ever been able to provide a persuasive answer. The president assures us he will seek a diplomatic solution to the Iranian crisis. And there is a role for threats of force to back up diplomacy and help concentrate the minds of our allies. But the current level of activity in the Pentagon suggests more than just standard contingency planning or tactical saber-rattling.
The parallels to the run-up to to war with Iraq are all too striking: remember that in May 2002 President Bush declared that there was "no war plan on my desk" despite having actually spent months working on detailed plans for the Iraq invasion. Congress did not ask the hard questions then. It must not permit the administration to launch another war whose outcome cannot be known, or worse, known all too well.
Richard Clarke and Steven Simon were, respectively, national coordinator for security and counterterrorism and senior director for counterterrorism at the National Security Council.
It's from NY times as well..if anyone is wondering.
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Senior Member
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Location: Reading 'Country Life' magazine in a crack wh0res brothel in Soho, London
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04-16-2006, 09:50 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by elstatec
i shook jack straws hand at heathrow 4 years ago when i was drunk at heathrow airport.
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I been fkd at Heathrow when I was gana go on a lads holiday to Spain, though if I saw a politician I think we would have yelled out "You fooking slag" rather than shake his hand like a gentleman...
I doubt we'll be going to Iran anytime soon, the USA/UK is already overstretched in Afghanistan & Iraq. We don't have the manpower unless we want to go into a state of total war.
I also still think we were right to invade Iraq as Saddam was an utter bastrd & needed to go. Though we should have taken Mugabe out first, this is obviously politically correct imperialism to gain oil in the name of democracy. I also don't think Iraq is in a state of civil war, the United States had lost more men in the first year of Vietnam than it has in the war in Iraq thus far. The wars are quite similar, though with differences. The USA was still fighting a hidden enemy with guerilla tactics using guns... If every Iraqi chap wanted to kill all westerners I'd expect to see far more casualties from roadside bombs & far more city fighting & insurgency.
I never expected Iraq to be a short war but I also don't think we are losing.
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